Line Plot from Scientific Research

The lines are fit on the basis of the statistical GAM model applied to the computed heat-related mortality risk, and the shaded areas represent the associated uncertainty expressed as 95% prediction intervals. The plots are arranged in ascending order in terms of impact, with a different scale on the y-axis in each case. CMIP6=Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6. GAM=Generalised Additive Model. SSP=Shared Socioeconomic Pathway. SSP1-2.6=consistent with a 2C global warming scenario. SSP2-4.5=medium pathway scenario. SSP3-7.0=pessimistic scenario. SSP5-8.5=high emissions scenario.

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