Ice shelf average T to reach MOA = 0.7 (solid lines) and spatial variability (dashed lines; 1 σ of all ice shelf grid points) of the Ross, Filchner-Ronne, Amery, Shackleton, Baudouin, Larsen C and Getz ice shelves. The end-of-century (2090–2100) average T 2m for R-CESM2 (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) (black stars) and end-of-century T 2m box plots for the full CMIP6 ensemble of SSP1-2.6 (blue, 40 models), SSP2-4.5 (green, 40 models), SSP3-7.0 (yellow, 36 models) and SSP5-8.5 (red, 41 models) are shown. The boxes represent the 33–67% percentiles, the middle line represents the median and the whiskers represent the 10–90% percentiles. Also shown for each ice shelf are the average 1979–2021 R-ERA5 (open circles) and 1950–2014 R-HIST (solid circles) T 2m , and (in text) the 1979–2021 R-ERA5 average snow accumulation ( A ).
