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Observed and estimated attack rates of symptomatic virologically confirmed disease and hospitalizations in the phase III clinical trial by serotype, serostatus and trial arm. Note that the plotted resolution is lower than the data used in the model calibration. The modeled attack rates show the mean (triangle) and 95% credible interval (CrI, dashed line) of the posterior distribution (n = 20,000 samples). The observed attack rates show the mean (circle) and 95% exact binomial confidence interval (solid line).
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