Line Plot from Scientific Research

Mortality trajectories in Latin America and the Caribbean and the mortality frontier for the period 2000–2050. By sex, age group (20–39 years, 40–59 years, 60–79 years and 80+ years) and cause of death (all causes; communicable, maternal, perinatal and nutritional conditions; cardiovascular diseases; malignant neoplasms; and injuries). Points correspond to WHO Global Health Estimates 10 for the period 2000–2019; the lines are projections. The impact of COVID is not accounted for in these projections; therefore, 2020–2023 is not shown. Some of the slight fluctuations observed for the frontiers are due to scaling with all-cause frontiers estimated in ref. 22 . For the mortality trajectories, the fluctuations observed are due to mortality shocks such as the Haiti earthquake in 2010, the method used for calculating regional estimates (aggregation of population-weighted country-specific estimates) and the scaling with the all-cause trajectory.

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