Density Plot from Scientific Research

The distribution of the ETP SST trend in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble. The distribution is determined by randomly sampling one realization per model 5,000 times, fitting a Gaussian to the multi-model distribution and averaging these sample distributions. The horizontal bars show the ranges (from minimum to maximum) across 50-member ensembles for individual models CanESM5 and MIROC6. The standard deviations of ETP trends are 0.003 C yr -1 in CanESM5 and MIRCO6 and 0.006 C yr -1 in the full CMIP6 ensemble. The vertical lines represent the ETP trend based on different observation datasets.

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