Posterior probability distribution estimated from Bayesian conditional logistic regression, based on the original prior probability distribution logOR~N(0.17,{0.13}^{2}) for use of menopausal hormone therapy; the vertical bold line indicates the median of the posterior distribution, and the shaded area under the curve indicates the 95% central posterior interval. All analyses were conducted based on the multiply imputed datasets ( m= 100), adjusted for age, place of residence, level of education, body mass index, tobacco smoking, environmental tobacco smoke, age at menopause, physical exercise and gynecological conditions. Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; PI, posterior interval. Superscript lowercase letter a ( a ) indicates the following: age at baseline in 2008